{"product_id":"demographic-forecasting-federico-girosi-9780691130958","title":"Demographic Forecasting","description":"\u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eDemographic Forecasting\u003c\/i\u003e introduces new statistical tools that can greatly improve forecasts of population death rates. Mortality forecasting is used in a wide variety of academic fields, and for policymaking in global health, social security and retirement planning, and other areas. Federico Girosi and Gary King provide an innovative framework for forecasting age-sex-country-cause-specific variables that makes it possible to incorporate more information than standard approaches. These new methods more generally make it possible to include different explanatory variables in a time-series regression for each cross section while still borrowing strength from one regression to improve the estimation of all. The authors show that many existing Bayesian models with explanatory variables use prior densities that incorrectly formalize prior knowledge, and they show how to avoid these problems. They also explain how to incorporate a great deal of demographic knowledge into models with many fewer adjustable parameters than classic Bayesian approaches, and develop models with Bayesian priors in the presence of partial prior ignorance. \u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e By showing how to include more information in statistical models, \u003ci\u003eDemographic Forecasting\u003c\/i\u003e carries broad statistical implications for social scientists, statisticians, demographers, public-health experts, policymakers, and industry analysts. \u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cul\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e \u003cli\u003eIntroduces methods to improve forecasts of mortality rates and similar variables \u003c\/li\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e \u003cli\u003eProvides innovative tools for more effective statistical modeling \u003c\/li\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e \u003cli\u003eMakes available free open-source software and replication data \u003c\/li\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e \u003cli\u003eIncludes full-color graphics, a complete glossary of symbols, a self-contained math refresher, and more\u003c\/li\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e\n\u003c\/ul\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eAuthor:\u003c\/b\u003e Federico Girosi, Gary King\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eISBN-10:\u003c\/b\u003e 0691130957\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eISBN-13:\u003c\/b\u003e 9780691130958\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublisher:\u003c\/b\u003e Princeton University Press\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eLanguage:\u003c\/b\u003e English\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublished:\u003c\/b\u003e 08\/24\/2008\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePages:\u003c\/b\u003e 288\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eFormat:\u003c\/b\u003e Paperback\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eWeight:\u003c\/b\u003e 1.96lbs\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eSize:\u003c\/b\u003e 9.66h x 8.06w x 0.65d","brand":"Federico Girosi","offers":[{"title":"Paperback","offer_id":44321213939967,"sku":"9780691130958","price":50.0,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0662\/2982\/9887\/files\/img_5e623875-5509-4e09-aa3b-78557a175c62.jpg?v=1696329716","url":"https:\/\/www.whiterainbookhouse.com\/products\/demographic-forecasting-federico-girosi-9780691130958","provider":"WR Book House","version":"1.0","type":"link"}