{"product_id":"forecasting-david-hendry-9780300244663","title":"Forecasting: An Essential Introduction","description":"\u003cb\u003eConcise, engaging, and highly intuitive--this accessible guide equips you with an understanding of all the basic principles of forecasting\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e Making accurate predictions about the economy has always been difficult, as F. A. Hayek noted when accepting his Nobel Prize in economics, but today forecasters have to contend with increasing complexity and unpredictable feedback loops. In this accessible and engaging guide, David Hendry, Michael Clements, and Jennifer Castle provide a concise and highly intuitive overview of the process and problems of forecasting. They explain forecasting concepts including how to evaluate forecasts, how to respond to forecast failures, and the challenges of forecasting accurately in a rapidly changing world. \u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e Topics covered include: What is a forecast? How are forecasts judged? And how can forecast failure be avoided? Concepts are illustrated using real-world examples including financial crises, the uncertainty of Brexit, and the Federal Reserve's record on forecasting. This is an ideal introduction for university students studying forecasting, practitioners new to the field and for general readers interested in how economists forecast.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eAuthor:\u003c\/b\u003e David Hendry,Jennifer Castle,Michael Clements\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eISBN-10:\u003c\/b\u003e 0300244665\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eISBN-13:\u003c\/b\u003e 9780300244663\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublisher:\u003c\/b\u003e Yale University Press\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eLanguage:\u003c\/b\u003e English\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublished:\u003c\/b\u003e 06\/11\/2019\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePages:\u003c\/b\u003e 240\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eFormat:\u003c\/b\u003e Paperback\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eWeight:\u003c\/b\u003e 0.65lbs\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eSize:\u003c\/b\u003e 8.40h x 5.30w x 0.70d\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eReview Citation(s): \u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003ci\u003eChoice\u003c\/i\u003e 12\/01\/2019","brand":"David Hendry","offers":[{"title":"Paperback","offer_id":48013723042047,"sku":"9780300244663","price":25.0,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0662\/2982\/9887\/files\/img_07081ca8-2f65-41bb-b5d0-49425a717c9e.jpg?v=1767744366","url":"https:\/\/www.whiterainbookhouse.com\/products\/forecasting-david-hendry-9780300244663","provider":"WR Book House","version":"1.0","type":"link"}