{"product_id":"persistent-forecasting-of-disruptive-technologies-national-research-council-9780309116602","title":"Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies","description":"\u003cp\u003eTechnological innovations are key causal agents of surprise and disruption. In the recent past, the United States military has encountered unexpected challenges in the battlefield due in part to the adversary's incorporation of technologies not traditionally associated with weaponry. Recognizing the need to broaden the scope of current technology forecasting efforts, the Office of the Director, Defense Research and Engineering (DDR\u0026amp;E) and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) tasked the Committee for Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies with providing guidance and insight on how to build a persistent forecasting system to predict, analyze, and reduce the impact of the most dramatically disruptive technologies. The first of two reports, this volume analyzes existing forecasting methods and processes. It then outlines the necessary characteristics of a comprehensive forecasting system that integrates data from diverse sources to identify potentially game-changing technological innovations and facilitates informed decision making by policymakers.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe committee's goal was to help the reader understand current forecasting methodologies, the nature of disruptive technologies and the characteristics of a persistent forecasting system for disruptive technology. \u003cem\u003ePersistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies\u003c\/em\u003e is a useful text for the Department of Defense, Homeland Security, the Intelligence community and other defense agencies across the nation.\u003cbr\u003e \u003c\/p\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eAuthor:\u003c\/b\u003e National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sci,Committee on Forecasting Future Disrupti\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eISBN-10:\u003c\/b\u003e 0309116600\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eISBN-13:\u003c\/b\u003e 9780309116602\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublisher:\u003c\/b\u003e National Academies Press\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eLanguage:\u003c\/b\u003e English\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublished:\u003c\/b\u003e 02\/15\/2010\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePages:\u003c\/b\u003e 136\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eFormat:\u003c\/b\u003e Paperback\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eWeight:\u003c\/b\u003e 0.97lbs\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eSize:\u003c\/b\u003e 10.90h x 8.40w x 0.30d","brand":"National Research Council","offers":[{"title":"Paperback","offer_id":48064836010239,"sku":"9780309116602","price":46.0,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0662\/2982\/9887\/files\/img_43f57a70-bc61-4c77-990a-a41d56e910eb.jpg?v=1768671354","url":"https:\/\/www.whiterainbookhouse.com\/products\/persistent-forecasting-of-disruptive-technologies-national-research-council-9780309116602","provider":"WR Book House","version":"1.0","type":"link"}