{"product_id":"the-science-of-conjecture-james-franklin-9781421418803","title":"Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability Before Pascal","description":"\u003cp\u003eHow did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In \u003ci\u003eThe Science of Conjecture\u003c\/i\u003e, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eThe Science of Conjecture\u003c\/i\u003e provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eAuthor:\u003c\/b\u003e James Franklin\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eISBN-10:\u003c\/b\u003e 1421418800\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eISBN-13:\u003c\/b\u003e 9781421418803\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublisher:\u003c\/b\u003e Johns Hopkins University Press\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eLanguage:\u003c\/b\u003e English\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublished:\u003c\/b\u003e 05\/11\/2015\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePages:\u003c\/b\u003e 520\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eFormat:\u003c\/b\u003e Paperback\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eWeight:\u003c\/b\u003e 1.74lbs\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eSize:\u003c\/b\u003e 9.21h x 6.14w x 1.16d","brand":"James Franklin","offers":[{"title":"Paperback","offer_id":43986114969855,"sku":"9781421418803","price":42.0,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0662\/2982\/9887\/files\/img_9d9911fb-abeb-46e5-806a-e22e7a69598c.jpg?v=1683281444","url":"https:\/\/www.whiterainbookhouse.com\/products\/the-science-of-conjecture-james-franklin-9781421418803","provider":"WR Book House","version":"1.0","type":"link"}