{"product_id":"toward-climate-resilient-development-in-nigeria-raffaello-cervigni-9780821399231","title":"Toward Climate-Resilient Development in Nigeria","description":"\"If not addressed in time, climate change is expected to exacerbate Nigeria's current vulnerability to weather swings and limit its ability to achieve and sustain the objectives of Vision 20:2020 [as defined in http: \/\/www.npc.gov.ng \/home\/doc.aspx?mCatID=68253]. The likely impacts include: - A long-term reduction in crop yields of 20-30 percent - Declining productivity of livestock, with adverse consequences on livelihoods - Increase in food imports (up to 40 percent for rice long term) - Worsening prospects for food security, particularly in the north and the southwest - A long-term decline in GDP of up to 4.5 percent The impacts may be worse if the economy diversifies away from agriculture more slowly than Vision 20:2020 anticipates, or if there is too little irrigation to counter the effects of rising temperatures on rain-fed yields. Equally important, investment decisions made on the basis of historical climate may be wrong: projects ignoring climate change might be either under- or over-designed, with losses (in terms of excess capital costs or foregone revenues) of 20-40 percent of initial capital in the case of irrigation or hydropower. Fortunately, there is a range of technological and management options that make sense, both to better handle current climate variability and to build resilience against a harsher climate: - By 2020 sustainable land management practices applied to 1 million hectares can offset most of the expected shorter-term yield decline; gradual extension of these practices to 50 percent of cropland, possibly combined with extra irrigation, can also counter-balance longer-term climate change impacts. - Climate-smart planning and design of irrigation and hydropower can more than halve the risks and related costs of making the wrong investment decision. The Federal Government could consider 10 short-term priority responses to build resilience to both current climate variability and future change through actions to improve climate governance across sectors, research and extension in agriculture, hydro-meteorological systems; integration of climate factors into the design of irrigation and hydropower projects, and mainstreaming climate concerns into priority programs, such as the Agriculture Transformation Agenda.\"\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eAuthor:\u003c\/b\u003e Raffaello Cervigni\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eISBN-10:\u003c\/b\u003e 0821399233\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eISBN-13:\u003c\/b\u003e 9780821399231\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublisher:\u003c\/b\u003e World Bank Publications\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eLanguage:\u003c\/b\u003e English\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublished:\u003c\/b\u003e 06\/28\/2013\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePages:\u003c\/b\u003e 212\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eFormat:\u003c\/b\u003e Paperback\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eWeight:\u003c\/b\u003e 0.84lbs\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eSize:\u003c\/b\u003e 10.00h x 7.00w x 0.45d","brand":"Raffaello Cervigni","offers":[{"title":"Paperback","offer_id":48517483790591,"sku":"9780821399231","price":29.95,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0662\/2982\/9887\/files\/img_a1821578-ea45-4ff9-ab06-87a5931cbfed.jpg?v=1778731986","url":"https:\/\/www.whiterainbookhouse.com\/products\/toward-climate-resilient-development-in-nigeria-raffaello-cervigni-9780821399231","provider":"WR Book House","version":"1.0","type":"link"}