{"product_id":"us-officials-and-the-fall-jean-charles-brotons-9780739133408","title":"U.S. Officials and the Fall of the Shah: Some Safe Contraction Interpretations","description":"Unlike the dominant trend in cognitive approach to foreign policy, the approach in this book is not guided by reflections in psychology. Like part of Jervis's work, it is inspired by reflections concerning the philosophy of science; yet not by Kuhn's or those of its most well-known critics, but by some more recent and formal reflections known as the AGM theory. \u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003eThe AGM theory, proposed in the 1980's by Alchourr, G舐denfors, and Makinson, is the core of a most dynamic branch of logic, focusing on belief change. It has produced impressive formal results, with echoes in artificial intelligence, database management, and decision and game theory. This book shows how it can be used in political science. \u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003eThe book includes three parts. Part One is a twenty-page review of the AGM theory, avoiding a number of pitfalls, inaccuracies, and misunderstandings that are common elsewhere. Part Two is a review of U.S.-Iranian relations under the reign of the last shah, focusing on the last years of monarchy, and including an unconventional interpretation of U.S. intelligence performance in 1978. The essential part is Part Three, where an AGM model is tested, and intriguing results obtained in connection with U.S. perceptions of the Iranian revolution.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eAuthor:\u003c\/b\u003e Jean-Charles Brotons\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eISBN-10:\u003c\/b\u003e 0739133403\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eISBN-13:\u003c\/b\u003e 9780739133408\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublisher:\u003c\/b\u003e Lexington Books\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eLanguage:\u003c\/b\u003e English\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublished:\u003c\/b\u003e 02\/15\/2010\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePages:\u003c\/b\u003e 202\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eFormat:\u003c\/b\u003e Hardcover\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eWeight:\u003c\/b\u003e 0.95lbs\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eSize:\u003c\/b\u003e 9.00h x 6.00w x 0.60d","brand":"Jean-Charles Brotons","offers":[{"title":"Hardcover","offer_id":44120127570175,"sku":"9780739133408","price":114.0,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0662\/2982\/9887\/files\/img_981e5dcd-a3fd-4321-8cf4-ab7720eeb561.jpg?v=1687412686","url":"https:\/\/www.whiterainbookhouse.com\/products\/us-officials-and-the-fall-jean-charles-brotons-9780739133408","provider":"WR Book House","version":"1.0","type":"link"}