Military Threats: A Systematic Historical Analysis of the Determinants of Success (Hardcover) (ISBN-13: 9780313238253)

The threat to use military force is a matter that commands immediate attention from many segments of government. Karsten, Howell, and Allen systematically analyze statistically significant numbers of actual cases to discover the determinants of success or failure of the threat to employ military force. After describing their methodology, they address several questions: what are the general characteristics of the typical threat? what types of threats succeed? what threats lead to war? did threats in the prenuclear past differ in outcome from those in the nuclear present? have the United States' threats differed substantially from those of other nations? can anything be said concerning the long-term consequences of the threats? In a concluding chapter the authors summarize their findings, compare them to the conventional wisdom, and then, as a test, apply them to six historical cases. They end their study with a look at the Solidarity and Falklands crises, and a theoretical scenario that suggests the significance of their findings.

Author: Artis Frances Allen,Peter Howell
ISBN-10: 0313238251
ISBN-13: 9780313238253
Publisher: Praeger
Language: English
Published: 02/23/1984
Pages: 182
Format: Hardcover
Weight: 0.95lbs
Size: 9.21h x 6.14w x 0.44d