Statistical Demography and Forecasting (Hardcover) (ISBN-13: 9780387235301)

Sustainability of pension systems, intergeneration fiscal equity under population aging, and accounting for health care benefits for future retirees are examples of problems that cannot be solved without understanding the nature of population forecasts and their uncertainty. Similarly, the accuracy of population estimates directly affects both the distributions of formula-based government allocations to sub-national units and the apportionment of political representation. The book develops the statistical foundation for addressing such issues. Areas covered include classical mathematical demography, event history methods, multi-state methods, stochastic population forecasting, sampling and census coverage, and decision theory. The methods are illustrated with empirical applications from Europe and the U.S.

Author: Juha Alho,Bruce Spencer
ISBN-10: 0387235302
ISBN-13: 9780387235301
Publisher: Springer
Language: English
Published: 07/01/2005
Pages: 412
Format: Hardcover
Weight: 1.60lbs
Size: 9.20h x 6.20w x 1.00d